Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.182137e-03 0.001330 0.001478 0.001639 0.001808 0.001979 0.002165
2025-03-16 9.354250e-04 0.001151 0.001376 0.001628 0.001900 0.002182 0.002496
2025-03-23 7.880231e-04 0.001058 0.001351 0.001687 0.002057 0.002450 0.002893
2025-03-30 6.444054e-04 0.000952 0.001298 0.001707 0.002167 0.002663 0.003230
2025-04-06 5.282327e-04 0.000864 0.001256 0.001730 0.002274 0.002868 0.003557
2025-04-13 4.360820e-04 0.000793 0.001225 0.001760 0.002385 0.003075 0.003882
2025-04-20 3.286303e-04 0.000688 0.001144 0.001724 0.002414 0.003186 0.004098
2025-04-27 2.402675e-04 0.000594 0.001068 0.001688 0.002438 0.003287 0.004298
2025-05-04 2.031733e-04 0.000568 0.001075 0.001749 0.002573 0.003514 0.004639
2025-05-11 1.510000e-04 0.000510 0.001033 0.001746 0.002630 0.003647 0.004872
2025-05-18 8.509771e-05 0.000410 0.000926 0.001655 0.002575 0.003648 0.004951
2025-05-25 4.796823e-05 0.000348 0.000865 0.001618 0.002584 0.003719 0.005108
2025-06-01 1.851318e-05 0.000287 0.000807 0.001591 0.002615 0.003833 0.005332
2025-06-08 3.371347e-06 0.000239 0.000762 0.001581 0.002670 0.003976 0.005593
2025-06-15 9.442778e-08 0.000221 0.000767 0.001640 0.002811 0.004224 0.005979
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000191 0.000746 0.001661 0.002903 0.004413 0.006297
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000165 0.000729 0.001684 0.002998 0.004604 0.006617
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000144 0.000716 0.001714 0.003101 0.004805 0.006948
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000106 0.000663 0.001679 0.003116 0.004897 0.007149
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000075 0.000611 0.001643 0.003127 0.004983 0.007341
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000069 0.000622 0.001703 0.003267 0.005227 0.007723
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000051 0.000594 0.001700 0.003321 0.005364 0.007974
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000023 0.000516 0.001610 0.003252 0.005345 0.008037